10-dimension weighted scoring framework for prediction market trade evaluation.
Enforces disciplined position sizing, circuit breakers, and mandatory counter-arguments.
Use when: evaluating prediction market trades, scoring opportunities, deciding position sizes,
comparing Polymarket/Kalshi opportunities, running pre-trade checklists.
Don't use when: general crypto analysis, DeFi yield farming, non-prediction-market investments,
stock/equity analysis, sports betting (different framework needed).
Negative examples:
- "Should I buy ETH?" → No. This is for prediction markets with binary/discrete outcomes.
- "What's the best DeFi yield?" → No. Wrong domain entirely.
- "Score this sports bet" → No. Sports betting has different dimensions (injuries, matchups).
Edge cases:
- Crypto prediction markets (e.g., "Will BTC hit $X?") → YES, use this if on Polymarket/Kalshi.
- Multi-outcome markets → Score each outcome separately.
- Markets with <$25 liquidity → Auto-fail on Liquidity dimension.
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安装方式
复制提示词，发送给任意 AI 助手即可安装 Skill，包括但不限于 Lighthouse OpenClaw、WorkBuddy、QClaw、Kimi、Claude 等